Who do you think is going to win. Not who do you want to win, who do you think is going to win? My money is on Obama. It’ll be a lot closer than it was against crazy ass mccain/palin, but I think the country still has a bad taste in its mouth from the 8 years of the GOP under W.
i really cant see how it could be Romney.
my feelings are that the mass-media is intentionally making it appear that things are closer than they are so that more people are compelled to vote.
I’ll guess Romney. And not because I’d prefer him to win, but because it’s the opposite of what you guys voted 
Truth is, there is absolutely no way to guess with certainty at this date in time. There is simply too much time, 4 debates, possible world events, etc. that could change things at the last minute.
But what are you basing that on?
Let me play devils advocate to Joe & Fry:
There are several examples of voter polls predicting simply garbage this far away from election day. Best example, Jimmy Carter:
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/behind-the-numbers/2008/10/reagans_comeback.html
… +8 points in October! Carter can’t loose! Then consider that while Obama won by a good margin in '08, most polls had him winning by more than he did actually did. Are the majority of polls overstating his margin again? The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate? - Texas on the Potomac
Then you have the presidents job approval which is still hovering at only 50%: RealClearPolitics - President Obama Job Approval
… and a right track / wrong track with ‘wrong’ over 60%: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html
… and then you have the problem of an incumbent president trying to win with such high unemployment: http://caffertyfile.blogs.cnn.com/2011/12/05/no-president-since-fdr-has-won-re-election-with-unemployment-over-7-2-is-president-obama-doomed/
And we all know it’s the electoral collage map that’s going to matter the most. Joe’s map link only uses the most recent public polling and only averages polls when they’re over the same week:
Try this one:
^^ Compare the methodology. Hate all you want, but the guy obviously knows what he’s doing.
Anything I’ve just posted can be disputed sure, but as I’ve said the exercise is mostly pointless at this date. You should have posted this thread 1 week from the election Fry, lol.