Major climatic shifts happen on (IIRC) 22,000 year, 40,000 year, and 100,000 year cycles. Well, that’s one theory anyways. It’s based on eccentricities in the Earth’s rotation and orbit. Anyhow, as Pass McGrass was kind enough to demonstrate, a major part of global warming theory is trying to draw long-term conclusions based on short-term observations. Yes, 1* in 10 years is a relatively large change, but it’s not abnormal. As JEG mentioned, naturally occurring phenomena can have the same effect. If that 1* shift really was caused by burning fossil fuels, then yeah I agree that’s effing scary. How do we know though?
Here’s an analogy to demonstrate my point: You cannot be sure of who’s dominating a football game by watching 5 seconds of play. You might see the shitty team’s best 5 seconds and draw the totally wrong conclusion. You might see the good teams best 5 seconds and overshoot the right conclusion. You just can’t be sure.
Sure, the theory of global warming seems to make sense. There is a lot of data that supports it. But there is also a lot of data that contradicts it.
Of course on top of it all, global warming is one of the most politically charged scientific theories. As JayS pointed out, the report that started this thread was modified extensively by politics, to the point that it really cannot be trusted.
We’ll never know for sure until it’s too late.
HOWEVER, that does not mean that we should not act as if it were false. I don’t think anyone would argue that. What would be the down side? Cleaner air in big cities? Energy independence from the middle east? Rainforest restoration? Oh no!
I will always be skeptical of the theory of global warming. (Not against it politically mind you, just skeptic of the science.) My main reason is that it is too politically charged for me to accept as “science.” Also, too many people try to draw conclusions in support of it that require assumptions that cannot be taken for granted. A 1* shift in 10 years COULD be supporting evidence, or there could be a whole slew of other explanations for it.