HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
551 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012
NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-191100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
551 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING STRONG WINDS AND ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE
REGION LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. STRONG WINDS MAY BEGIN
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. THERE
IS A CHANCE THESE WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME MINOR
DAMAGE…ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.
RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING…WITH PERIODS OF SNOW
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO
DETERMINE LOCAL SNOW AMOUNTS. HOWEVER…ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS
LIKELY FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN…WHERE
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS LOW
AND THE DETAILS AS TO WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST SNOW
WILL BE. TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED
BY THIS STORM. STAY TUNED TO FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN THE COMING DAYS FOR FURTHER UPDATES.
Yeah I am not getting too excited just yet about that storm. I do however like the fact that the lake is super warm though. Could work in our favor to dump a ton of snow all at once.
Yeah, not shaving my sack just yet. Would’ve been nice to have a few days of subfreezing temps to freeze the mini lakes and mud holes this day if rain just dropped.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 333 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…WARSAW…JAMESTOWN…OLEAN… WELLSVILLE…ORCHARD PARK…SPRINGVILLE 333 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 …WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON… THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS…WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER…SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. * TIMING…FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * HAZARDS…HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS…1 TO 2 INCHES FRIDAY…4 TO 6 INCHES FRIDAY NIGHT…3 TO 5 INCHES SATURDAY…LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES. GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. * WINDS…WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. * IMPACTS…TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE STARTING ON FRIDAY. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY. EXPECT SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE…THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. A SMALL CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED TRACK MAY ALTER EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
Just went and fired mine up tonight, put my reg sticker on and it’s all set to go. Wales probably has a good 4-6" already and they were getting pummeled as I came home just a few minutes ago. After a good cold days, the ground will freeze and if we get the storms they are calling for this coming week, we should be able to ride the Boston hills and southern tier.
anyone who wants to head up north to tug hill, I would be in for a ride. I am out of work until jan. 7th and I really want to ride. They are opening trails as I type this and they are getting hit pretty good today.
Yeah, I’m not towing all the way to the hill for 6" of snow and 10" of dirt. Extended forecast looks promising with cold temps all week to freeze things up and a possible end of week storm.
Very true, next weekend might be a better shot for decent riding. As much as I want to ride, I am going to maximize my $$$ and time. They are talking about opening some trails in Bliss/Arcade area on Monday, but nothing solid yet.
lol