Hurricane Dean

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If you know anyone from Jamaica, wish them luck. Looks like Dean may be a category 5 (155 mph winds) when it rolls over the island. A friend of mine from my last job has family there so hopefully they’re safe.

Look for this to make a big mess for gas prices if it shifts at all to the north of it’s present track. As it is they’ll have to evac many of the drilling platforms which will cause a drop in supply.

For you weather nerds like me here are some good tracking sites:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
http://www.hurricanealley.net
http://www.boatus.com/HURRICANES/hurricane_spaghetti.asp

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT04/refresh/AL0407W5_sm2+gif/083524W_sm.gif

Spaghetti Model, showing how each of the different computer sims are predicting the track of the storm:

http://www.boatus.com/HURRICANES/upload/4/models.gif
models.gif800×600

2

CLP5 = someone figuring out what variables are required to make it hit New Orleans

3

This storm is going to do a lot of damage.

Jamaica has a lot of poverty already and is under the gun. 150mph sustained winds as of 8am.

Also, with its track keeping it over warm water so much, the Yucatan Pen. of Mexico is going to get flogged as well.

4

Eh, I’ve been to Jamaica. Aside from a couple of isolated nice places they could rebuild what’s there after total destruction in about 3 days. :rofl:

Seriously though, good luck to that little island.

5

Cancun’s likely shaking in their booties about the projected storm track though!

6

It’s supposed to hit Texas pretty hard, I guess.

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8

[quote=“Pass McGrass,post:6,topic:34061"”]

It’s supposed to hit Texas pretty hard, I guess.

[/quote]

Eh, I think it’ll be a Cat. 3 when it gets to the mainland of Mexico/Texas, unless it only grazed the Yucatan Pen.

If it crosses the Yuc. it will lose a bit of steam, and won’t have enough time to reignite to get to a devastating cat 4-5 storm again in time.

9

We’ll see. Crossing the Yucatan isn’t a very large chunk of land, especially for a cat 5. Then it’s got the very warm gulf waters to feed off on it’s way to TexMexico.

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[quote=“Bigairskier1580,post:8,topic:34061"”]

Eh, I think it’ll be a Cat. 3 when it gets to the mainland of Mexico/Texas, unless it only grazed the Yucatan Pen.

If it crosses the Yuc. it will lose a bit of steam, and won’t have enough time to reignite to get to a devastating cat 4-5 storm again in time.

[/quote]

^^ but it will most likely slow down and it will have time to re-strengthen over the warm gulf water before another landfall

11

Possible, yes. But I really expect the yucatan to take the brunt of the storm. The second you cut a Hurricane off from the warm ocean by putting it over land, it drops it’s power FAST. And there is little indication of a weather pattern that would cause it to slow its westward speed and progress. At 17MPH, it’s a fairly quick-moving hurricane.

If it just grazes the peninsuala, then Brownsville/Corpus Christi should start shitting themselves.

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BTW… if you have money in the Caymans, you better hope your bank has a real good off-site backup.

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[quote=“JayS,post:12,topic:34061"”]

BTW… if you have money in the Caymans, you better hope your bank has a real good off-site backup.

[/quote]

lol

edit: :ohnoes::ohnoes:

14

good thing the little sister flew out of Corpus yesterday :slight_smile:

The in laws are still there tho. :tup:

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http://hurricanedeanpath.ytmnd.com/

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LOL

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dean is gonna bring the pain

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[quote=“justa4door,post:15,topic:34061"”]

[/quote]

hahaha

19

Looking a lot better for Texas and our oil platforms in the Gulf this morning.

The Yucatan peninsula is going to get fucked up though.